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Focus Investing - By Lou Simpson of GEICO Insurance (0 viewing) 
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Focus Investing - By Lou Simpson of GEICO Insurance

#426
Mr Tee (User)
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1 Year, 1 Month ago
 


1. Think independently.

We try to be skeptical of conventional wisdom, he says, and try to avoid the waves of irrational behavior and emotion that periodically engulf Wall Street. We don’t ignore unpopular companies. On the contrary, such situations often present the greatest opportunities.



2. Invest in high-return businesses that are fun for the shareholders.

Over the long run, he explains, appreciation in share prices is most directly related to the return the company earns on its shareholders’ investment. Cash flow, which is more difficult to manipulate than reported earnings, is a useful additional yardstick. We ask the following questions in evaluating management: Does management have a substantial stake in the stock of the company? Is management straightforward in dealings with the owners? Is management willing to divest unprofitable operations? Does management use excess cash to repurchase shares? The last may be the most important. Managers who run a profitable business often use excess cash to expand into less profitable endeavors. Repurchase of shares is in many cases a much more advantageous use of surplus resources.



3. Pay only a reasonable price, even for an excellent business.

We try to be disciplined in the price we pay for ownership even in a demonstrably superior business. Even the world’s greatest business is not a good investment, he concludes, if the price is too high. The ratio of price to earnings and its inverse, the earnings yield, are useful guages in valuing a company, as is the ratio of price to free cash flow. A helpful comparison is the earnings yield of a company versus the return on a risk-free long-term United States Government obilgation.



4. Invest for the long term.

Attempting to guess short-term swings in individual stocks, the stock market, or the economy, he argues, is not likely to produce consistently good results. Short-term developments are too unpredictable. On the other hand, shares of quality companies run for the shareholders stand an excellent chance of providing above-average returns to investors over the long term. Furthermore, moving in and out of stocks frequently has two major disadvantages that will substantially diminish results: transaction costs and taxes. Capital will grow more rapidly if earnings compound with as few interruptions for commissions and tax bites as possible.



5. Do not diversify excessively.

An investor is not likely to obtain superior results by buying a broad cross-section of the market, he believes. The more diversification, the more performance is likely to be average, at best. We concentrate our holdings in a few companies that meet our investment criteria. Good investment ideas--that is, companies that meet our criteria--are difficult to find. When we think we have found one, we make a large commitment.
 
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" Men wanted for hazardous Journey. Small wages. Bitter cold. Long months of complete darkness. Constant danger.Safe return doubtful. Honor and recognition in case of success."
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#428
Ben (User)
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1 Year, 1 Month ago
 
Great investing ideas which are worthwhile to remember. If you wish to be successful in the stock market, remember to invest for the long term.
 
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#452
Mr Tee (User)
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1 Year, 1 Month ago
 
I used to sell off what turned out to be D Gem stock, only later to realize my short term greed turned out to be bigger regret when I saw it moving all the way up.

Lesson to earn......Focus Investing.
 
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#453
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1 Year, 1 Month ago
 
I wish lou were a lot younger so that he could takeover when warren passes....but he is already in his 70s...

He's definitely an investing legend himself, by compouding Geico's float in the 20s for decades...
 
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"Just as a man working with his tools should know its limitations, a man working with his cognitive apparatus must know its limitations"-- Charlie Munger.
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#461
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1 Year, 1 Month ago
 
HI miniB,

Why wouldn't he just be by his own instead of working for Warren's company?
 
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#463
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1 Year, 1 Month ago
 
Warren has said many times that if lou were to start a hedge fund, he would have been a billionaire now.

Money is not the most important thing in lou's opinion. He likes privacy, freedom and the flexibility in how he allocates capital for geico. More importantly, they have many things in common. That's why they are perfect match.

And it's no coincidence that all the managers working under warren are very much like lou. They are very good at what they are doing, they love doing what they are doing (not for fame or money), they prefer to work under the radar, humble and they feel privileged working under warren. That will contribute to the "moat" of berkshire hathaway, quite significantly.
 
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"Just as a man working with his tools should know its limitations, a man working with his cognitive apparatus must know its limitations"-- Charlie Munger.
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